⚾ Shohei Ohtani Home Run Probability 2025

AI-Powered Prediction & Real-Time Updates for Next Game

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Home Run Probability

📅 2026/3/3(火) 05:10

Analyzing...

Pitcher Data Analysis

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Recent Performance

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Calculating Game Probability

🎯 ∞ AB per HR

Expected Frequency

⚾ ∞ Games per HR

Based on 4 AB per game

Per At-Bat

0.0%

(Base: 7.5%)

Relief: 70% RHP, 30% LHP weighted

📊 Game Probability Level

Low

0.0%

High

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⚾

Next Game

🆚 Opponent: Colorado Rockies

⚾ Starting Pitcher: Jimmy HergetRHP

🏟️ Date & Venue: 2026/3/3(火) 05:10; Salt River Fields at Talking StickAWAY

Base Rate (Full Game)

20.9%

Game Factors Adjustment

↓

20.9% → 0.0% (-20.9 points)

Full Game Probability

0.0%

📐 Detailed Calculation Method

1. Base Probability

Career HR rate: 280 HRs ÷ 3730 ABs = 7.5%

3. vs L/R Matchup

vs RHP: Career 0.0% (0.00x of average)

4. Recent Form

Last 0 games: 0 HRs, AVG .0 → Normal

5. Park Factor

Venue: Salt River Fields at Talking Stick

Neutral park: No adjustment

6. Full Game Probability

Per AB: 0.0%

3 ABs (vs Starter): 1 - (1 - 0.000)³ = 0.0%

4th AB (vs Relief):

・RHP (70%): 0.0% added

・LHP (30%): 0.0% added

Final: 0.0%

📊 Full Game Impact Factors

⚾

vs Right-handed

×0.00

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Last 10 Games

Games: 0

Home Runs: 0

AVG: .0

Hits: 0

HR Rate: 0.0%

🏆

MLB Career Stats

Career HRs: 280

Career ABs: 3,730

Career PAs: 4,329

HR Rate: 7.5%; per At-Bat

📊

vs LHP/RHP Stats

vs Left-Handed

LHP

HRs: 0

ABs: 0

HR Rate: 0.0%

vs Right-Handed

RHP

HRs: 0

ABs: 0

HR Rate: 0.0%

※ Data from MLB Stats API | Auto-updated every hour

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